Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand Russell said, “Probability is the ...

We document the size of that risk premium in this graph, which shows the zero-coupon yield curve implied by current Treasury ...

In terms of class probability, entrepreneurs and consumers have to decide which characteristics of a particular event are unique (and not relevant to the probability estimate) and which elements are ...

The Federal Reserve should use Kalshi data to better gauge macroeconomic expectations in real-time and thus guide its decision-making, Fed researchers say.

The crypto asset touched all-time highs of $126,223 in October 2025. While market participants were expecting the bull run to sustain, Bitcoin reversed sharply and currently trades lower by 46.8% at ...

Crypto market slides as Fed hints at rate hikes in FOMC minutes; BTC, ETH, XRP face selloffs amid macroeconomic pressures.

Jaron Pierre Jr. scored 25 points and Boopie Miller had 23 points with nine assists as SMU beat No. 21 Louisville 95-85 on ...

Learn the college basketball betting basics, with an explanation of betting lines, tips, and strategies so you can make smarter bets for the 2024-25 season.

XRP just recorded its largest realized loss spike since 2022, hitting approximately $1.93 billion in weekly realized losses.

XRP remains a top performer in crypto, famously rallying from $0.006 to $2.27 during the 2017 cycle. While that historic surge solidified XRP’s place among top-performing digital assets that cycle, ...

You only have to look at the Kraft Heinz shares and five years of volume losses to understand the challenge faced by CEO ...