The US equity market stands at the most extreme valuations in history, on the measures we find best correlated with actual ...
In terms of class probability, entrepreneurs and consumers have to decide which characteristics of a particular event are unique (and not relevant to the probability estimate) and which elements are ...
'Conditional intensity' changes the way severe weather risks are forecasted.
Jaron Pierre Jr. scored 25 points and Boopie Miller had 23 points with nine assists as SMU beat No. 21 Louisville 95-85 on ...
Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand Russell said, “Probability is the ...
In most states, Medicaid eligibility rules shift at age 19, when individuals transition from child to adult classification. A ...
George Pólya’s random walk theorem absolved him of being a lurker and revealed how the laws of chance interact with physical ...
L ast summer one “ricosuave666” won more than $150,000 on Polymarket, a betting platform. Their true identity was not clear, ...
Discover how Monte Carlo analysis helps investors assess risk and make informed decisions. Explore its role in generating ...
Background A more nuanced understanding of behavioural responses to incentives over time, particularly after they are removed, could guide more effective interventions. In this study, we build on the ...
Objectives The optimal maternal age at childbirth has been a topic of bourgeoning literature, with earlier ages offering physiological benefits for maternal recovery. In contrast, later ages to give ...
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